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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankPan9XprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)65% (4157–2202, n=6359)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$21K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #983PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus84% (26 of 31 open)61% (74 of 122 open)64% (9 of 14 open)61% (44 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 100% of 41)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)13% (won 100% of 154)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)26% (won 100% of 300)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)58% (won 100% of 671)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

36 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankPan9XprimmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3KRavens $10Ravens $560Jaguars $174
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $128Under $3.0KOver $5.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $601Jaguars $45—Jaguars $3.2K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $10Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—Southern Miss $12James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
—James Madison $345Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $240
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $213Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $20K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5KWarriors $40—Warriors $510
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $26KJaguars $19K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $9.7KJaguars $7.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73—No $2.5K
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $21—Suns $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $53—Over $1.6K
Spread: UTSA (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $10—Florida Atlantic $1.6K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 63.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $27Under $1.3K—
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $11—Florida Atlantic $736
Spread: James Madison (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $34James Madison $550—
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $80—Magic $376
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $8—Suns $258
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Suns $43—Magic $217
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Warriors $38—Heat $110
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $105—Over $36
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $32—Warriors $108
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $97KRavens $4——
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8—Under $5.0K
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-7.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
—UTSA $16—UTSA $4.3K
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-10.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
—UTSA $12—UTSA $2.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $74—Jaguars $1.7K
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $170—Florida Atlantic $1.5K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 69.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $73—Under $1.6K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
same side · consensus James Madison
—James Madison $26James Madison $1.6K—
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
—UTSA $16—UTSA $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60—Under $1.3K
Spread: UTSA (-2.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $21—Florida Atlantic $1.3K
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $74—Suns $1.1K
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-14.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $74—Florida Atlantic $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $60—Suns $1.1K
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $13—Suns $1.1K
Spread: UTSA (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $10Florida Atlantic $1.0K—
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $161—Florida Atlantic $814
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $51—Southern Miss $832
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $821Warriors $36——
Spread: South Carolina State (-7.5)
same side · consensus South Carolina State
—Howard $34—Howard $642
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Magic $9—Magic $644
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $112—No $529
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $49—Over $512
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $11—Jaguars $453