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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1primmomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (537–650, n=1187)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)50% (986–968, n=1954)50% (14425–14501, n=28926)
Consensus PnL$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus85% (53 of 62 open)67% (8 of 12 open)43% (3 of 7 open)57% (8 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)8% (won 59% of 873)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)21% (won 86% of 2319)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)38% (won 94% of 4154)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)32% (won 99% of 3497)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1primmomnibus-076daa
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $664Under $1.5KOver $73
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Commanders $44K—Eagles $1.3K—
Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura
opposite sides · consensus Yanki Erel
—Yanki Erel $15K—Masamichi Imamura $217
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.1KEagles $858—
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $1.5KEagles $3—
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $23Eagles $412—
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $378Under $41—
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $1.1MCommanders $27K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $85K——Yes $2.0K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $30K——Yes $3.0K