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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (10856–6256, n=17112) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (20930–20602, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $680K | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 56% (362 of 642 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (33 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 19% of 2052) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 7% (won 53% of 368) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 9% (won 72% of 497) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 46% (won 97% of 2506) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.