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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)65% (896–472, n=1368)50% (15330–15412, n=30742)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$4.5M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #100PM monthly #60
Sides with the consensus54% (15 of 28 open)76% (31 of 41 open)45% (49 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daa
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $149
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—Yes $117
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $64
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41