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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)65% (902–484, n=1386)50% (15393–15458, n=30851)50% (20538–20353, n=40891)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$4.8M$3.1M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #101PM monthly #59PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus68% (23 of 34 open)71% (107 of 151 open)56% (73 of 131 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278KYes $11KYes $3—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $154—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $16No $1.1K
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $115Over $54
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $72Over $10
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $335K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $22K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K—Yes $215—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $38Yes $3.8K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3K—Yes $64—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $33—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
——Under $34Under $378
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $217No $43
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Over
——Over $188Over $45
Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-21?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $65Yes $108
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $38Yes $3