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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)65% (902–484, n=1386)50% (15393–15458, n=30851)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$4.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #102PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensus68% (23 of 34 open)75% (163 of 218 open)71% (107 of 151 open)54% (77 of 143 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1omnibus-076daa
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278K—Yes $11KYes $3
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $5.0K—Zongyu Li $3
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.4K—Under $2.2K
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $77—Yes $3.2K
Cairns Taipans vs. Illawarra Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Illawarra Hawks
—Illawarra Hawks $2.9K—Cairns Taipans $116
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $519—Arthur Fils $1.9K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $16
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K——Yes $154
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $641—Yes $424
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $589—Yes $363
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $514—Under $207
Will Lion City Sailors FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $569—Yes $89
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
—HNK Hajduk Split $233—Lincoln Red Imps FC $274
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $91—Yes $360
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $199—Over $164
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $292—Yes $70
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $329—Over $6
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $301—Yes $3
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $287—Yes $9
Will Kitchee win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $258—No $5
Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $176—Yes $49
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $119—No $49
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $125—Yes $38
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $134—Yes $2
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $2—Tiphanie Lemaitre $99
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $52—Under $43
Taranto: Jay Clarke vs Gianluca Cadenasso
opposite sides · consensus Jay Clarke
—Jay Clarke $5—Gianluca Cadenasso $44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $5—BetBoom Team $26
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
opposite sides · consensus BakS eSports
—BakS eSports $5—Honvéd $12
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K—No $335K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
—Zeynep Sonmez $21K—Zeynep Sonmez $5.3K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K——Yes $117
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K——Yes $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Under $1.6K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2K—No $9.7K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.2K—No $175
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.2K—Yes $3
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.4K—Yes $216
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3K——Yes $64
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $110—No $1.8K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8K—No $15
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
—Giannicola Misasi $69—Giannicola Misasi $1.7K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $158—Yes $1.5K
Luanda: Kristina Kroitor vs Ksenia Zaytseva
same side · consensus Ksenia Zaytseva
—Ksenia Zaytseva $1.5K—Ksenia Zaytseva $28
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $489—No $789
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K——Yes $33
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $365—Over $672
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Moyuka Uchijima
—Magda Linette $919—Magda Linette $59
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $681—No $79
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $442—No $19