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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | ppku6298 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 65% (865–456, n=1321) | 42% (94–129, n=223) | 47% (13990–15476, n=29466) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.1M | $4.1M | $34K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #958 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (125 of 172 open) | 66% (50 of 76 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 51% (34 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 86% of 106 at avg 49¢, ROI +37% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 2% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 62% (won 83% of 66) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 35% (won 89% of 37) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.