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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CUTJALENHURTSndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (5414–4963, n=10377)66% (876–458, n=1334)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$687K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #120PM monthly #26PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (64 of 104 open)74% (28 of 38 open)56% (63 of 112 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won54% of 10253 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1347)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 46% of 3634)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3558)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 86% of 1714)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCUTJALENHURTSndb1RN1
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.4K—No $3.6K
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $602Yes $420—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $65Yes $525—
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1Yes $191—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.8KYes $12K—
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
No $59—No $13K
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $345No $3.1K—
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $3.3KNo $6—
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1Yes $454—
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $26No $5—