Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CUTJALENHURTSndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (5336–4904, n=10240)66% (870–454, n=1324)47% (12761–14165, n=26926)
Consensus PnL—$672K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #54PM monthly #12PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (83 of 115 open)69% (25 of 36 open)67% (62 of 93 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −1 pts, n=164NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%54% of 10253 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)13% (won 19% of 1347)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)35% (won 46% of 3634)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 61% of 3558)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)17% (won 86% of 1714)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CUTJALENHURTSndb1RN1
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $626Yes $420—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $65Yes $525—
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1Yes $160—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
—No $98KNo $1.5M—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $34KYes $501K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $241K—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $286Yes $62K—
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $345No $3.1K—
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $6—
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1Yes $454—
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $26No $5—