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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Car | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (2273–1077, n=3350) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #886 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (104 of 158 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 55% (52 of 94 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Tech ±0 pts, n=138 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 4258 at avg 61¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 7% of 1265) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 46% of 325) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 67% of 371) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 97% of 2297) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Car | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | — | — | No $35K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $423 | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $46 | — | — | No $590 |