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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ComingBackbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)61% (3977–2523, n=6500)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$74K$5.8M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus91% (20 of 22 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (78 of 108 open)56% (84 of 149 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +15 pts n=1269, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=1640, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +11 pts n=207, ROI +13%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics −6 pts, n=123NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won73% of 7547 at avg 65¢, ROI +9%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 23% of 77)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 56% of 1748)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 67% of 2819)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 89% of 2903)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketComingBackbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $2.0K—Raiders $171KJets $11K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.0K—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $4.6K—Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $62K—No $184K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $2.0K—Cardinals $35K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Raiders $17KJets $43
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $378KBills $28K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KBills $18K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161