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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Crypto-JoeFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (90–49, n=139)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$5.8K$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #879PM monthly #22PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus80% (8 of 10 open)68% (191 of 282 open)63% (26 of 41 open)58% (108 of 186 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −17 pts, n=19Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 18% of 11)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 47% of 19)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 81% of 26)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 93% of 41)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 50 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCrypto-JoeFlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $4.2KEastern Michigan $2.0K
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $4.2KSacramento State $765
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
—Senators $2.8K—Sabres $1.4K
Spread: UMass (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
——Ball State $2.8KUMass $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.5KUMass $1.0K
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KUnder $242
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.0K—Under $230
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2.2KSacramento State $800
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Sacramento State $80Toledo $2.8K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $797Over $2.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $301—No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.5KUnder $3
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.4K—Under $118
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $2.2K—Hornets $40
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274—Under $1.7K
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $298Sacramento State $1.5K
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $138
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $984Central Michigan $597
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $900UMass $663
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $1.0KSacramento State $463
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $1.1K—Hornets $125
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $1.1K—Grizzlies $123
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
——Ball State $480UMass $457
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $895—Thunder $17
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $672—Over $46
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $243Sacramento State $462
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $103—Over $535
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $528—Under $106
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $296—Pelicans $280
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $313—Over $235
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $353—Pacers $180
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $489—Over $6
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $415—Over $1
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $142Sacramento State $211
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Nuggets $211—Raptors $130
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2—Over $278
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $146—Over $85
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $99
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $171—Over $47
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $50
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $181—Suns $6
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $37—Over $130
Spread: Jazz (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $91—Jazz $65
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $100—Over $2
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4