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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FYYY0689ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (36–39, n=75)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$39K$4.2M$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #370PM monthly #139PM monthly #47PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)73% (33 of 45 open)55% (86 of 155 open)60% (110 of 184 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +6 pts n=59, ROI +13%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won49% of 73 at avg 49¢, ROI +9%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢60% (won 48% of 44)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 54% of 28)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up0%43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFYYY0689ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $114No $6.1K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $4.9K——Kings $129
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $4.8K—Grizzlies $3—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Wizards $3.9KHawks $678
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu
——Maxwell McKennon $210Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
——Leyre Romero Gormaz $740Solana Sierra $476
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $677
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Wizards $331Hawks $128
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $30Over $375
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2Under $124
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
same side · consensus Lautaro Midon
——Tomas Barrios $56Tomas Barrios $16K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
——Nishesh Basavareddy $896Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $249Yes $5.3K
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
same side · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
——Carlos Maria Zarate $21Carlos Maria Zarate $3.7K
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $23Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Lakers $607Lakers $3
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $271Hornets $129
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $27Under $147
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $4Pelicans $121
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
same side · consensus CR Flamengo
——Grêmio FBPA $3Grêmio FBPA $89
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 1 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $76