Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FYYY0689ndb1omnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)48% (36–39, n=75)65% (876–462, n=1338)50% (14961–15011, n=29972)50% (19442–19516, n=38958)
Consensus PnL$39K$4.2M$3.0M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #370PM monthly #11PM monthly #60PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (19 of 24 open)59% (82 of 139 open)64% (30 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +6 pts n=59, ROI +13%
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won49% of 73 at avg 49¢, ROI +9%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 16% of 160)8% (won 60% of 899)7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢60% (won 48% of 44)20% (won 40% of 253)21% (won 87% of 2444)20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 54% of 28)24% (won 57% of 310)39% (won 95% of 4418)22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up0%43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 99% of 3709)51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFYYY0689ndb1omnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $10No $1.2K
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $72Over $10
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
——No $153No $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $21K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $65Yes $5.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $42Yes $4.2K
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $213No $42
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $30Yes $2
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Lukas Pokorny
——Lukas Pokorny $5Lukas Pokorny $4