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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Fancyi | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 0% (0–2, n=2) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 61% (393–247, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | -$56K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 68 at avg 73¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 14% of 7) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 50% of 4) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 70% of 10) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 98% of 47) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.