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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (732–246, n=978) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 63% (19–11, n=30) | 66% (479–242, n=721) |
| Consensus PnL | $69K | $227K | $22K | -$146K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (56 of 85 open) | 62% (26 of 42 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 35% (won 100% of 7) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 55% (won 100% of 11) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 51% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $10 | Bucks $2.9K | — | — |
| W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron opposite sides · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea | Elena Ruxandra Bertea $1.1K | — | — | Teodora Miron $128 |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $65 | Under $1.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Warriors $125 | Rockets $81 | — | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal same side · consensus Sumit Nagal | Sumit Nagal $1.1K | — | — | Sumit Nagal $3.0K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $83 | Under $2.7K | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $1.4K | Rockets $791 | — | — |
| M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Mak Mikovic same side · consensus Tommaso Compagnucci | Tommaso Compagnucci $290 | — | — | Tommaso Compagnucci $1.2K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Falcons | Falcons $165 | Falcons $1.2K | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — | — |
| Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $17 | Over $430 | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $3 | Rockets $55 | — | — |