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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1rayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (892–472, n=1364)54% (2325–2004, n=4329)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$4.6M$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #3PM monthly #99PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus60% (130 of 218 open)no open consensus position78% (39 of 50 open)56% (22 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)2% (won 95% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)32% (won 98% of 321)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)51% (won 98% of 507)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)14% (won 98% of 138)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1rayvanmechelen
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $169
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $1.4K——Kings $9
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $1.3K——Pelicans $3
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301——No $371
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $523——Over $3
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $246——Under $10
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $166——Under $3
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $132——Under $9
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
Justina Mikulskyte $2——Tiphanie Lemaitre $10
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $975——No $981
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $1.8K——Pelicans $3
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.5K——Over $9
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $865——No $10
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $861——Quentin Halys $10
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sydney FC
Sydney FC $696——Sydney FC $10
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $514——Over $10
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $468——No $10
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Loyola Marymount Lions
same side · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions
Queens (NC) Royals $420——Queens (NC) Royals $10
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $197——Under $7
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Mika Stojsavljevic $36——Mika Stojsavljevic $10
Will Barakaldo CF win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $18——No $3