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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Folletin | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (367–150, n=517) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $77K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (25 of 37 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (91 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −10 pts, n=69 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 572 at avg 69¢, ROI +7% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 22% of 69) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 39% of 49) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 70% of 100) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 90% of 354) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Folletin | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $387K | — | Ravens $727 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $300K | — | Steelers $91 |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $259K | — | Steelers $3.6K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $79 | Yes $172K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $105K | — | Jets $257 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $583 | No $88K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $21 | No $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $32K | — | Cowboys $21 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $2.7K | — | Cowboys $644 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $410 | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $35K | — | Bills $37 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $383 | Yes $943 | — | — |