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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | sainttroplay | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 37% (19 of 51 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (92 of 147 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | sainttroplay | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.9K | — | Over $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.5K | — | Raiders $2.3K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $3.8K | — | Cardinals $1.3K | — |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | — | No $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $770 | — | Cardinals $2.1K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.4K | — | Under $76 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.3K | — | Cardinals $714 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $71 | — | Raiders $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $8 | — | Cardinals $1.1K | — |
| Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $26 | — | No $366 | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $46 | — | Under $258 | — |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $191 | — | No $73 | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | — | Over $3.0K | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $1.2K | — | Falcons $1.8K | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $72 | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $188 | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $40 | — | Bills $1.1K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | Under $213 | — |