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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| GC-P | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (1167–1345, n=2512) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.9K | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #631 | PM monthly #147 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (79 of 107 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 66% (98 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | GC-P | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $690 | — | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $201 | — | Yes $291 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.4K | — | Yes $12K |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $221 | — | Over $7.9K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | No $4.4K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $711 | — | No $3.1K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $882 | — | Under $1.5K |