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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGC-Pndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)82% (5644–1278, n=6922)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$148K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #631PM monthly #97PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (191 of 254 open)72% (82 of 114 open)71% (52 of 73 open)54% (42 of 78 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4406 at avg 68¢, ROI +29%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 99% of 262)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 913)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 971)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2260)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

65 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGC-Pndb1RN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14KYes $585—No $2.5K
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.1KYes $106—No $4.2K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $5.0KNo $2.2K—No $15K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $5.0KAnastasia Zakharova $569—Anastasia Zakharova $12K
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9KYes $1.0K—Yes $10K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $953No $528—No $6.5K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.8KNo $3.2K—No $2.7K
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $24—No $1.6K
Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $224—No $22
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $357Kings $154—Kings $110
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $35KRinky Hijikata $874——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $5.8K——Taylor Fritz $2.1K
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.4KNo $212——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $5.2KYes $42——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.9KYes $24——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KOver $170——
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1KYes $31——
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $351——Over $791
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $268——Ipek Oz $680
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $607No $250——
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $512No $339——
Sariyer SK vs. Igdir FK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $331——Under $466
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $209Yes $487——
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $259Yes $308——
Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Palermo FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $340Yes $219——
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $348——Under $81
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $283——Under $86
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $225——Hornets $116
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $172Under $166——
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $70——Juan Carlos Prado $268
Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $315Yes $1——
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $188——Cavaliers $108
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $229——
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $178Yes $45——
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $167Seahawks $7——
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $108No $33——
Will Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $67——Yes $38
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11Yes $43——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31——No $12
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3No $31——
Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig $8——FC Energie Cottbus $21
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $20K——No $22K
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $16KNo $3.0K——