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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| GC-P | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (5646–1279, n=6925) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14153–15617, n=29770) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $148K | $4.8M | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #625 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (97 of 137 open) | 73% (54 of 74 open) | 53% (77 of 146 open) | 69% (31 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4406 at avg 68¢, ROI +29% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 99% of 262) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 913) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 971) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 100% of 2260) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | GC-P | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $585 | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.6K | Under $21K |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | Yes $6.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $42 | — | No $3.9K | — |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.0K | — | Yes $49 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $67 | — | Yes $1.3K | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 |
| Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $709 | — | Under $1 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $192 | No $216 |
| Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $376 | — | Yes $1 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $179 | — | Wizards $116 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $174 |
| Exact Score: Toulouse FC 3 - 2 RC Strasbourg Alsace? opposite sides · consensus No | No $97 | — | Yes $2 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $15 | — | Over $12 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 3 Coventry City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2 | — | Yes $14 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $1.8K | — | — | No $15K |
| Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.2K | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $3.4K | — | No $3.7K | — |
| Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $275 | — | No $3.0K | — |
| Exact Score: Everton FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC? same side · consensus No | No $95 | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Exact Score: Everton FC 0 - 0 Coventry City FC? same side · consensus No | No $926 | — | No $1.5K | — |
| Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | No $617 | — |
| Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $85 | — | No $2.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $960 |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $2.0K | — | No $25 | — |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | No $5 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges same side · consensus Casper Ruud | Nuno Borges $236 | — | Nuno Borges $1.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1.0K | — | Under $161 | — |
| Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | No $235 | — | No $877 | — |
| Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $476 | — | Yes $419 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $42 | Under $801 |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $515 | — | Under $161 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Hornets $223 | — | Hornets $341 | — |
| Everton FC leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $280 | — | No $157 | — |
| Exact Score: Venezia FC 2 - 3 Udinese Calcio? same side · consensus No | No $315 | — | No $49 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $116 | — | Kings $245 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $154 | — | Kings $110 | — |
| Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $48 | — | No $210 | — |
| Exact Score: Hamburger SV 3 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach? same side · consensus No | No $167 | — | No $21 | — |
| FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $114 | — | Over $20 | — |