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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| GC-P | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (8338–6456, n=14794) | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 50% (26156–25782, n=51938) |
| Consensus PnL | -$266K | $4.8M | $14.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #432 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (111 of 176 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 52% (82 of 159 open) | 65% (39 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4441 at avg 68¢, ROI +29% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 99% of 262) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 919) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 983) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 100% of 2277) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | GC-P | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K | Under $20K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $608 | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1 | No $41 | Yes $97 | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $24 | Yes $12K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $98 | — | No $6.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.0K | Under $2.0K |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $911 | — | Yes $3.4K | — |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | Yes $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $6 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $7 | — | Yes $1.5K | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $153 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $460 | — | — | Yes $674 |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $150 | — | Yes $956 | — |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $692 | — | Over $407 | — |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $889 | — | Under $71 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Will AZ vs. FC Groningen end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $39 | — | Yes $230 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Will Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $192 | — | No $5 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $140 | — | Yes $46 | — |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $94 | — | Under $78 | — |
| Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $46 | — | Yes $5 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12 | — | Yes $1 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $23 | No $346K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $1.8K | — | — | No $15K |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $7.0K | — |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | — | Yes $6.1K | — |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.3K | — | Yes $6.1K | — |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907? same side · consensus No | No $331 | — | No $5.7K | — |
| Will BK Hacken win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | — | No $4.1K | — |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | No $2.8K | — |
| Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | Yes $719 | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | Yes $138 | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.0K | Under $829 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $403 | — | Yes $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $49 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.4K | Under $67 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 2 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | No $266 | — | No $819 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |
| Will FC Groningen win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $53 | — | No $586 | — |
| Le Havre AC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $514 | — | Over $82 | — |
| Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $168 | — | No $336 | — |