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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:BreakTheBankbeachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| HomeRunHazard | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3464–2954, n=6418) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (60 of 88 open) | 56% (89 of 158 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $28K | Bills $4.0K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Falcons $15K | Buccaneers $3.8K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $13K | Magic $228 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $10K | Under $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $9.2K | Celtics $3 |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $1.3K | Jets $7.2K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.8K | Under $2.2K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.2K | Raiders $2.7K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $3.7K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Jets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $2.5K | Raiders $1.4K |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $2.6K | Titans $14 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3 | Under $2.3K |
| Spread: Bengals (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $52 | Titans $2.2K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $1.1K | Cardinals $629 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Over $166 |
| Spread: Raiders (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $1.0K | Raiders $1 |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $10 | Ravens $647 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $338 | Under $213 |
| Vikings vs. Lions same side · consensus Lions | Lions $7.9K | Lions $21K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Steelers $18K | Steelers $1.9K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $12K | Under $2.4K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-20.5) same side · consensus Colts | Colts $11K | Colts $283 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $6.0K | Cardinals $1.4K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | Lions $600 | Lions $4.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-8.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $3.6K | Cowboys $605 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $104 | Bills $4.0K |