← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HorribleWork | CORGII | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (439–238, n=677) | 62% (395–247, n=642) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$220K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 18% (3 of 17 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (130 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Economy −6 pts, n=36 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 615 at avg 67¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 15% of 163) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 36% of 39) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 71% of 35) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 61% (won 98% of 378) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HorribleWork | CORGII | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $68K | — | — | No $292K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | — | No $250K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.8K | — | — | Yes $172K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15 | — | — | Yes $274K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $320 | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $913 | — | — | Yes $33K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $596 | — | — | No $32K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $110 | — | — | Yes $30K |