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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| HotDogs | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 94% (387–23, n=410) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (39 of 45 open) | 63% (91 of 145 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=185 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 441 at avg 92¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 5) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 71% of 17) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 95% (won 97% of 418) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HotDogs | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | Browns $255K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Jets $192 | Raiders $171K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $285 | — | No $40K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | Raiders $17K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | — | No $10K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | Falcons $8.6K |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.5K | — | Yes $2.2K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | Cardinals $35K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | Jaguars $20K |