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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Jest55sainttroplayRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)76% (595–192, n=787)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$107K$4.4M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus86% (42 of 49 open)no open consensus position54% (64 of 118 open)74% (14 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicElections −6 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won76% of 1078 at avg 71¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 15% of 149)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 47% of 122)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 75% of 138)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 95% of 669)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJest55sainttroplayRN1primm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $647Bills $4.5K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $2.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $1.1K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.2KOver $8
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $434Under $65
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.2KUnder $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.2KUnder $261
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $2.5KBills $282
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $629Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $93Bills $662