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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
KevindotoRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)78% (236–66, n=302)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$563K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #893 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus96% (23 of 24 open)65% (104 of 159 open)no open consensus position71% (73 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −5 pts, n=11———
Settled positions, side won84% of 525 at avg 82¢, ROI +5%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 15% of 48)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 55% of 20)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 61% of 28)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up82% (won 94% of 429)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKevindotoRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5K—Browns $255K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $192—Raiders $171K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11K—Cardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400—Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9K—Falcons $8.6K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.1K——Yes $4.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $3.0K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3K—Raiders $104K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714—Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1K—Raiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643—Jaguars $20K