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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | beachboy4 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (5627–4149, n=9776) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (8 of 19 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 61% (77 of 127 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | beachboy4 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $4.0K | — | Over $30K | — |
| Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | No $2.7K | — |
| Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $44 | — | Under $33 | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $4.1K | — | No $24K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $3.7K | — | No $14K | — |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $181 | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.9K | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $102 | — | Under $2.4K | — |
| Spread: PAOK Thessaloniki (-1.5) same side · consensus PAOK Thessaloniki | PAOK Thessaloniki $40 | — | PAOK Thessaloniki $552 | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $75 | — | Yes $437 | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $161 | — | No $70 | — |
| US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $61 | — | Over $100 | — |
| Will Elche CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $42 | — | Yes $40 | — |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $47 | — | No $21 | — |
| PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $39 | — | Under $18 | — |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | Liverpool FC $11 | — | Liverpool FC $16 | — |