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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MEPP | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (361–191, n=552) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $562K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #995 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (64 of 80 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −18 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 778 at avg 62¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 14% of 153) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 34% of 82) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 66% of 145) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 93% of 398) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MEPP | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.4K | — | No $202K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $44K | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.1K | — | Eagles $858 |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $1.5K | — | Eagles $3 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $23 | — | Eagles $412 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $3.8K | Commanders $188K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.6K | — | Yes $170K | — |