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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Nooserac00gringo00BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)52% (5294–4842, n=10136)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (537–650, n=1187)62% (393–246, n=639)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.5M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #40was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus86% (42 of 49 open)no open consensus position85% (52 of 61 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164———
Settled positions, side won54% of 10044 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1317)0%10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3583)0%36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3478)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1666)0%20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooserac00gringo00BreakTheBankCORGII
Eagles vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $5.0K—Commanders $1.1M—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $21K—
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Legacy $6.3K——TheMongolz $15K
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $8.6K——B8 $9.7K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.8K—Yes $13K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $13K—No $407K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K—Yes $36K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K—Yes $22K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $811—Yes $15K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $383—Yes $2.6K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $96—Yes $1.3K—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $101—Yes $296—