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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus78% (56 of 72 open)53% (63 of 118 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164—NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won54% of 10037 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1314)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3582)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3477)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1664)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracRN1beachboy4
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $781Under $9.2K—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.2KNo $3.3K—
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $2.3KBills $4.0K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $5.2KCardinals $629—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4KOver $434—
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $990Titans $696—
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $1.3KTitans $271—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $53KCowboys $12K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $9.2K—
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $7.3KTitans $1.2K—
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $2.1KBills $4.0K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.8KCowboys $1.4K—