← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Nooserac | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (5294–4842, n=10136) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (43 of 50 open) | 67% (8 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −1 pts, n=164 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 10044 at avg 51¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 19% of 1317) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 46% of 3583) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 3478) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 85% of 1666) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.