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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RLWG | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (5910–6260, n=12170) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #645 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (25 of 54 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 759 at avg 52¢, ROI +46% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 50% of 46) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 92% of 190) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 98% of 473) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 50) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.