← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RLWG | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (5919–6267, n=12186) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #645 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (23 of 47 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (82 of 116 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 766 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 50% of 46) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 92% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 98% of 476) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 52) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.