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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RailcoolBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)54% (88–74, n=162)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$125K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #701PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus53% (10 of 19 open)73% (72 of 98 open)53% (33 of 62 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won75% of 92 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 38% of 26)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 56% of 9)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 90% of 21)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 97% of 36)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRailcoolBreakTheBankRN1primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $7.4K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $38K——
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.5KNo $24K——
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $471No $102K——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $271Yes $73K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $15KNo $747——
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13KYes $2.2K——
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.7KNo $10K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $55Yes $14K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—