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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RichiddRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)49% (52–54, n=106)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$39K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #217PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus75% (18 of 24 open)64% (88 of 138 open)70% (57 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won84% of 68 at avg 58¢, ROI +31%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 60% of 5)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 79% of 14)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 90% of 31)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 83% of 18)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRichiddRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $51Browns $300K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $3.4KBrowns $259K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $255Raiders $105K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—No $88K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $17—No $35K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $23Cardinals $32K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20—No $16K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.3KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $611Cardinals $2.7K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $572—Yes $274K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $258K