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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Richidd | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (52–54, n=106) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $39K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #217 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (19 of 24 open) | 66% (100 of 152 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 68 at avg 58¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 60% of 5) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 79% of 14) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 90% of 31) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 83% of 18) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Richidd | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | Browns $255K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $192 | Raiders $171K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | No $90K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | No $10K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $17 | — | No $35K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20 | — | No $20K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | Raiders $17K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | Falcons $8.6K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $568 | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $258K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | Raiders $104K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.7K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | Cardinals $35K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | Raiders $24K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | Jaguars $20K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $523 | — | Yes $4.1K | — |