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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RichiddsainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)49% (52–54, n=106)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$39K$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #217was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus79% (19 of 24 open)no open consensus position72% (77 of 107 open)62% (18 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won84% of 68 at avg 58¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 60% of 5)0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 79% of 14)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 90% of 31)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 83% of 18)0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRichiddsainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—No $88K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $30K—No $10K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $17—No $35K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $24KJets $284
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20—No $21K—
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $378KBills $395
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $568—Yes $272K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $258K—
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9.7K—Yes $38K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $523—Yes $4.1K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K