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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Ryxon21 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (147–59, n=206) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $133K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #461 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (40 of 51 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 297 at avg 77¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 46% of 24) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 78% of 32) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 95% of 21) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 97% of 220) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ryxon21 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $51 | Yes $274K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $44K | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | No $34K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.3K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.6K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $188K | — | Commanders $3.9K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.1K | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | Yes $81K | — | — |