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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ryxon21beachboy400gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)71% (148–60, n=208)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$133K$5.8M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #461 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus80% (43 of 54 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won91% of 297 at avg 77¢, ROI +10%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 46% of 24)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 78% of 32)29% (won 56% of 62)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 95% of 21)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up74% (won 97% of 220)14% (won 86% of 29)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRyxon21beachboy400gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $51——Yes $272K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.7K——No $184K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25K——Yes $77K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $10K——No $35K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.1K——Yes $37K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $762——Yes $28K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $981——No $24K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K——Yes $1.1K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1K——Yes $71K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K——Yes $38K