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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SPLPB | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (273–1814, n=2087) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $11.0M | -$352K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #408 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (50 of 77 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −16 pts, n=87 | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 23% of 1578 at avg 28¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 66% (won 3% of 1041) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 27% of 120) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 50% of 114) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 82% of 303) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.