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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ScottyNooo | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (313–542, n=855) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $910K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (77 of 140 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 46% (11 of 24 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=308 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1112 at avg 45¢, ROI −3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 4% of 557) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 32% of 77) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 55% of 44) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 96% of 434) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ScottyNooo | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10K | No $250K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | No $118K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.4K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | No $34K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | — | Eagles $2.3K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $270K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $40K | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | — | Commanders $3.6K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $756 | Yes $14K | — | — |