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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Tigerofthehood | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (125–14, n=139) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $269K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #536 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (12 of 12 open) | 61% (28 of 46 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Economy ±0 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 208 at avg 91¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 33% of 6) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 75% of 12) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 90% (won 98% of 188) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Tigerofthehood | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $38K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $111K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $128K | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $28K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $16K | — | — | Yes $2.2K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |