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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (177 of 282 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (78 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $1.3K | — | Raiders $104K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $608 | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $23 | — | Bills $51K |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $444 | — | Chiefs $44K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $109 | — | Cardinals $35K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $1.2K | — | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $8.7K | — | Raiders $17K |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $66 | — | Magic $24K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $41 | — | Magic $13K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $8 | — | Bills $2.1K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $2.6K | — | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $105 | — | Browns $297K |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $3.2K | — | Raiders $171K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $350 | — | Cardinals $3.0K |