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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (102 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (72 of 97 open) | 55% (12 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $5.1K | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $6.8K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $2.8K | — | Chiefs $152K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $1.3K | — | Commanders $43K | — |
| Spread: Rams (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $33K | — | — | Rams $849 |
| Chargers vs. Rams opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $1.1K | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.4K | — | — | Under $250 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | — | — | Over $22 |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $27 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $72 | — | — | Rams $4 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $34 | — | — | Over $4 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6.1K | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $55 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Patriots $92 | — | — | Patriots $1.8K |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) same side · consensus Rams | Rams $733 | — | — | Rams $1.0K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) same side · consensus Broncos | Broncos $1.0K | — | — | Broncos $247 |
| Spread: Chargers (-1.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $104 | — | — | Chargers $595 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $240 | — | — | Over $7 |
| Spread: Patriots (-6.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Dolphins $117 | — | — | Dolphins $17 |