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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Valen9 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (347–206, n=553) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $235K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #639 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (32 of 51 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −16 pts, n=16 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 658 at avg 67¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 7% of 129) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 42% of 59) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 72% of 67) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 61% (won 93% of 403) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Valen9 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $47K | No $184K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $69K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $23K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $7.6K | No $24K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.7K | No $23K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.1K | No $10K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $4.8K | Yes $2.2K | — | — |