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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Valen9 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (347–206, n=553) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $235K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #639 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (32 of 50 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −16 pts, n=16 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 658 at avg 67¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 7% of 129) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 42% of 59) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 72% of 67) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 61% (won 93% of 403) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Valen9 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $47K | No $184K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $69K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $23K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $7.6K | No $24K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.7K | No $22K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.1K | No $10K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $4.8K | Yes $2.2K | — | — |