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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ameisgoat11 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5430–4794, n=10224) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #943 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (35 of 60 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (28 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 249 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 47) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 33% of 58) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 67% of 64) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 93% of 80) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ameisgoat11 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | — | Under $954 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3 | — | — | Under $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $3 | — | — | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $2 | — | — | Magic $161 |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | — | — | No $18 |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $2 | — | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K |
| Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $13 | — | — | No $227 |
| Will CA Grau win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | — | Yes $22 |
| Spread: SC Braga (-1.5) same side · consensus SC Braga | FC Famalicão $8 | — | — | FC Famalicão $21 |
| Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3 | — | — | Over $20 |
| Will CA Grau vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $3 | — | — | No $5 |