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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
anoin123CORGIIBreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)50% (290–293, n=583)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$1.3M$4.5M$10.6M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus52% (122 of 236 open)25% (1 of 4 open)74% (72 of 97 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won92% of 481 at avg 79¢, ROI −11%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 61% of 41)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 83% of 23)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 76% of 50)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 98% of 367)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketanoin123CORGIIBreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $29K—No $102K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $27K—Yes $73K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20K—No $35K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.0K—No $24K—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12K—No $747—
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.7K—Yes $2.2K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $3.7K—No $412K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $99—No $184K—
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2K—Yes $38K—
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $96—No $10K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7K—Yes $4.1K—