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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
anoin123beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)50% (290–293, n=583)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.3M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #18was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus51% (119 of 233 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won92% of 480 at avg 80¢, ROI −12%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 63% of 40)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 83% of 23)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 76% of 49)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 98% of 368)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketanoin123beachboy4BreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $29K—No $90K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $27K—Yes $71K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20K—No $35K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K—No $24K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12K—No $747
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.7K—Yes $2.2K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $3.7K—No $411K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $99—No $184K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2K—Yes $38K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $96—No $10K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7K—Yes $4.1K